2014 World Cup USA vs Germany Betting Picks
2014 World Cup – Group G
United States vs Germany
Itaipava Arena Pernambuco – Recife, Brazil
Thursday, June 26, 2014, 12:00 pm Eastern, TV: ESPN, Univision
Money Line: Germany -170 / United States +800 / Draw +230
Point Line: Germany -0.5 -170 / United States +0.5 +145
Total: over 2.5 -125 / under 2.5 +105
All odds courtesy of Bookmaker
The United States was 30 seconds away from clinching a spot in the knockout stage as they led 2-1 late in stoppage time against Portugal Sunday. Unfortunately, it was not to be as Portugal scored to make the final 2-2. Now the United States must get a point against a powerful German side Thursday in Recife.
Both Germany and the United States are tied at the top of Group G with 4 points. Germany beat Portugal 4-0 and tied Ghana 2-2 last Saturday, for a goal differential of +4. The United States beat Ghana 2-1 before the draw against Portugal, for a goal differential of +1.
A draw between the US and Germany or a Portugal-Ghana draw would send both USA and Germany into the knockout round. Germany wins the group with a win or a draw against the United States. The US must beat Germany to win the group. Ghana can advance to the knockout round with a win against Portugal, coupled with a US loss and Ghana would have to overcome a 2 goal differential deficit. Portugal must beat Ghana, hope for a US loss and overcome a 5 goal differential deficit.
Germany leads the series 6-3-0 against the United States. The United States won the last meeting 4-3 last year in Washington, DC in a friendly. The two teams were in the same group in the World Cup in 1998 and 2002 and Germany won both of those matches.
United States coach Jurgen Klinzmann was born in West Germany and led West Germany to the 1990 World Cup title as a player. He coached Germany in 2006 and led them to third place in that World Cup. His top assistant on that team was current German coach Joachim Low. U.S. Defenders Jermaine Jones and John Brooks have dual German-American citizenship.
The United States found themselves down 1-0 5 minutes into the game against Portugal in steamy Manaus on a goal from Nani. Portugal would take that lead into halftime. At 64 minutes, Jermaine Jones equalized for the US. Clint Dempsey gave the US a 2-1 lead at 81 minutes. It looked like the United States would pull the upset and secure a place in the round of 16. The refs added 5 minutes of stoppage time and late in the fifth minute Silvestre Varela scored the heartbreaking equalizer.
The United States had 15 shots including 10 on goal. Portugal had 20 and 9. Portugal had 14 fouls to 11 for the US. Portugal had a slight edge in possession at 52%. The Americans had 6 corners to 4 for Portugal. Portugal had 4 offside calls to 1 for the USA.
Germany and Ghana were scoreless at halftime last Saturday in Fortaleza. Mario Gotze gave Germany a 1-0 lead at 51 minutes. Andre Ayew tied it up for Ghana 3 minutes later. Ghana took a 2-1 lead at 63 minutes on a goal from Asamoah Gyan. Miroslav Klose came in the game at the 69th minute as a sub for Gotze. Klose would score the game tying goal two minutes later. It was the 15th career World Cup goal for Klose which ties the record set by legendary Brazilian striker Ronaldo. Neither team would score again, and the teams settled for the draw.
Germany had 11 shots including 6 on goal. Ghana had 20 shots including 10 on goal. Ghana had 17 fouls to 11 for Germany. The Germans had possession for 59% of the time. Germany had 7 corners to 3 for Ghana. Ghana had 5 offside calls to 1 for Germany.
Klinsmann will use the same 4-2-3-1 formation he used against Portugal. The US will still be without striker Jozy Altidore who strained his hamstring in the first half of the win against Ghana and missed the Portugal match. Clint Dempsey and Michael Bradley are still the most talented scorers without Altidore. Keeper Tim Howard made some amazing saves against Portugal to keep the score 1-0 until Jones tied it up.
Low will use a 4-3-3 formation. Defender Jerome Boateng left the match against Ghana with an injury at halftime. He is out against the United States. Shkodran Mustafi will start in his pace at right back. Bastian Schweinsteiger could start in the midfield in place of Sami Khedira. Thomas Muller is one of the best strikers in the world. Keeper Manuel Neuer has allowed 2 goals so far in the World Cup.
The close relationship between Klinsmann and Low has led to some speculation that the two teams might conspire together for a draw, as it would send both teams into the round of 16. Both have vehemently denied these rumors. I don’t think there is anything to these rumors. Even if they were true, what are they going to say? FIFA would be none too happy if the coach of a World Cup team admitted match fixing. The United States keeps it close, but Germany wins late. The United States will have to sweat out the other game to see if they advance.
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