2013 PGA John Deere Classic
Thursday, July 11, – Sunday, July 14, 2013, TV: Golf Channel, CBS
TPC Deere Run – Silvis, Illinois
Par 71 – 7,257 yards
Defending Champion – Zach Johnson
All odds courtesy of Bookmaker
The John Deere Classic is the last PGA event before next week’s Open Championship at Muirfield in Scotland. A lot of the top players are either taking this week off or playing in the European PGA Tour Scottish Open. Still the John Deere has some big names, despite having only 2 golfers in the top 10 of the current FedEx Cup standings. Both Boo Weekley and Kevin Streelman are currently in the top 10 but both are 50/1 or worse to win.
Expect some low scores as TPC Deere Run has surrendered the most birdies on tour the last two seasons. In the 13 years since the course started hosting this event, the average score for the winner has been 16 under par and no winning score was higher than 13 under. The greens average 8,000 square feet and the rough is minimal.
Here is a look at the contenders and some head to head match-ups, with all odds courtesy of bookmaker.
Steve Stricker (11/2)
Stricker loves this course and has 15 straight under par rounds at the course. He had won this event 3 straight years, but had to settle for a tie for fifth last year. Stricker has yet to win this year but has made the cut at all 7 events he has played this year. He has two solo runner-ups and two other top 10’s. He hasn’t played since a tie for 8th at the US Open.
Stricker is a heavy favorite for a reason. Deere Run has become his own personal playground. Stricker is definitely worth a play to win the tournament and is also -280 to beat Charley Hoffman.
Zach Johnson (15/1)
Johnson has struggled this season with only a third place finish at the Crown Plaza Invitational as his only top 10 finish. He missed the cut at the US Open and tied for 58th in his last start at the Travelers last month.
Like Stricker he loves this course, and Johnson ended Strickers’ streak with his John Deere win last year. Johnson has top 5’s in 3 of his last 4 trips to Deere Run, and has 16 straight rounds under par at the course.
Johnson is a +130 underdog to beat Keegan Bradley. I like Bradley in that match-up, but Johnson could get back on track at one of his favorite courses.
Louis Oosthuizen (18/1)
Oosthuizen has battled injuries recently and withdrew from the Byron Nelson and US Open with a hip injury. He rebounded with a top 20 at the Greenbrier Classic last week in West Virginia. He only has one top 10 this season. Oosthuizen has never played here before but he should do well on a less than challenging course. Oosthuizen is -173 to beat Ryan Moore.
Keegan Bradley (37/2)
Bradley has 4 top 5’s and two other top 10’s in 17 events this season. After missing the cut at the US Open, he finished in the top 20 at the Travelers. He is making his John Deere debut. Bradley is -160 to beat Johnson. Bradley could be there at the end with a chance to win.
Ryan Moore (45/2)
In his last six events, Moore has either missed the cut or finished in the top 15. He hasn’t played since a tie for seventh at the Travelers. He missed the cut at the US Open. Moore has seven straight rounds in the 60’s at Deere Run. He tied for eighth here last year. Moore is +143 against Oosthuizen. I think a top 10 or 15 is likely for Moore and he has a good shot of beating Oosthuizen.
Jordan Spieth (45/2)
The 19 year old sensation won’t turn 20 until alter this month. He has 5 top 10’s in 15 starts. Spieth was tied for fourth five shots behind leader Johnson Wagner going into the fourth round at last week’s Greenbrier Classic. However, Spieth missed all 14 birdie chances in the final round and had to settle for a top 25 instead of a top 10. He is 8th in all-around scoring on Tour. He missed the cut in the US Open. He is also making his John Deere debut. Spieth is -130 against Nick Watney.
Nick Watney (25/1)
Watney has 2 top tens this season. He tied for 23rd at the Greenbrier last week. Watney missed the cut at the US Open, his third straight missed cut. Watney is even money to beat Spieth.
Every other golfer is a at least 35/1 but here are some of the odds for the bigger names. John Senden, Brendon De Jonge, Charley Hoffman, Gary Woodland, Luke Guthrie and Scott Stallings (all 35/1), Harris English (85/2), Jonas Blixt (45/1), Camilo Villegas, Kyle Stanley, Morgan Hoffman, and Kevin Streelman ( all 50/1), Charles Howell III (105/2), Pat Perez, Boo Weekley, John Huh, and John Rollins (all 55/1), Jeff Overton and K.J. Choi (both 70/1). The field is +150.
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