2013 PGA Greenbrier Classic Betting Preview

2013 PGA Greenbrier Classic
Thursday, July 4-Sunday, July 7, 2013, TV: Golf Channel, CBS
The Old White TPC – White Sulphur Springs, West Virginia
Par 70 – 7,287 yards
Defending  Champion: Ted Potter, Jr.
All odds courtesy of Bovada

Phil mickelson is favored to win the Greenbrier Classic which starts Thursday in West Virginia.
Phil Mickelson is favored to win the Greenbrier Classic which starts Thursday in West Virginia.

As the calendar turns to July, and Americans celebrate Independence Day, PGA Tour golfers know there are only 9 more events until the FedEx Cup playoffs. Events like this week’s Greenbrier Classic in West Virginia allow the players to either solidify their position or in some cases get in for those golfers on the bubble.  It is also the last tune-up for a lot of players before the Open Championship at Muirfield in a couple of weeks.

The Old White TPC was originally built in 1914 but has undergone many changes in the nearly 100 years since then. In fact, the course was completely renovated after the 2010 inaugural Greenbrier Classic.  The course has been lengthened by 13 yards from last year’s event, when Ted Potter,  Jr. won a playoff against Troy Kelly.  It was the first and so far only career win for Potter.  In a bizarre scene, after heavy thunderstorms in the area the third round was played without spectators for safety reasons. The thunderstorms knocked over an oak tree at the par 3 18th forcing course designers to make a new angle to the hole.  Rain and thunderstorms are in the forecast for this year’s event as well especially for the first round on July 4.

Rookies have won this event the last two years, including  Potter last year and Scott Stallings in 2011. Nine of the top twelve at last week’s AT&T National were non winners including 3 rookies. With Tiger Woods out until at least the British Open with an elbow injury, there is a good shot of seeing another first time winner at the Greenbrier.

Here is a look at some of the contenders and their odds courtesy of Bovada. I have also included some head to head match-ups I like.

Phil Mickelson (12/1)

Mickelson is fourth in the FedEx Cup with a win at Phoenix and 5 top fives.  He hasn”t played since his heartbreaking tie for second at the U.S. Open last month, the sixth time he has been the runner up at the U.S. Open. He has 3 top 5’s in his last 4 events played. Mickelson has never made the cut in two previous appearances at the Old White. He is ninth in adjusted scoring. Mickelson is -120 to beat Webb Simpson. I like Simpson in that match-up and I think Mickelson could struggle to make the cut again.

Webb Simpson (14/1)

Simpson is 14th in the FedEx Standings with no wins and 4 top tens. He is coming off a tie for fifth at the Traveler’s two weeks ago. He has two top 10’s in his last two appearances at the Greenbrier in 2011 and 2012. Simpson is in the top 30 on tour in greens in regulation and adjusted scoring. I like Simpson at -110 to beat Mickelson, and he could be worth a play to win the tournament as well.

Bill Haas (18/1)

Haas is 7th in the FedEx standings with a win last week at the AT&T National and 6 other 10 tens. He is tied for 10 tens on tour. Haas was tied for second at the Greenbrier in 2011. Haas is ninth in GIR and tied for first in par 4 scoring. Haas is -115 to beat Bubba Watson. I like Haas to beat Watson. 

Bubba Watson (18/1)

Watson is 39th in the FedEx Standings, with 3 top 10’s, including a tie for 4th at the Travelers. He was at least tied for the lead after 36 and 54 holes in that tournament. He has never played in the Greenbrier before. Watson is fourth on tour in greens in regulation. He is -115 to beat Haas, but I like Haas because Watson has never played this course before in competition.

Graham DeLaet (22/1)

DeLaet is 23rd in the standings with 5 top 10’s. The Canadian finished third at the Travelers and tied for 8th at the AT&T National last week. He finished tied for 12th at last year’s Greenbrier and has played all 8 rounds at the Old White under par. He leads the tour in GIR. He is -115 to beat Billy Horschel. I like DeLaet to win that match-up and get his first tour win.

Billy Horschel (25/1)

Horschel is 5th in the FedEx Standings with a win at the Zurich Classic, and 7 top 10’s. He tied for fourth at the U.S. Open but was a disappointing 61st at the AT&T National. He has made the cut here in his first two trips to the Greenbrier but hasn’t cracked the top 30. He is ninth in all-around scoring. He is -115 against DeLaet, but Horschel hasn’t had much success at this course so far.

Louis Oosthuizen (28/1)

Ooosthuizen has only one top 10 finish this season with 3 top 25’s. He has never played this event before. Oosthuizen is -115 against Jordan Spieth.  I don’t see Oosthuizen contending this week.

Jordan Spieth (33/1)

The 20 year old Texan will be a star some day very soon. Spieth has 5 top tens this season including a tie for second in Puerto Rico. He finished in sixth last week at Congressional. Spieth is making his Greenbrier debut. He is top 30 on tour in total driving and adjusted scoring. I like him at -115 to beat Oosthuizen.  Spieth could be a semi-dark horse to win the event.

Scott Stallings (33/1)

Stallings is 27 in the FedEx Cup standings with 4 top tens. He has three straight top 4 or better finishes before a tie for 53rd at the U.S. Open and missing the cut at the AT&T.  Stallings won this event in 2011. He is -115 to beat Scott Piercy and I like Stallings in that match-up.

Other players and their odds include Boo Weekley, Brendon De Jonge, Roberto Castro, Russell Henley, Ryan Palmer and Piercy, (all 40/1), Gary Woodland, Nick Watney and Peter Hanson (all 50/1), Charles Howell III (55/1), Charlie Wi and John Senden (both 66/1), K.J. Choi and Ted Potter ( both 80/1), Kenny Perry, Sean O’Hair, Stuart Appleby and Vijay Singh (all 125/1), Ben Curtis, Davis Love III, Lucas Glover,  Justin Leonard and Rory Sabbatini (all 150/1), Aaron Baddeley, Jeff Maggert, Jonathan Byrd, Mike Weir Robert Allenby, Ryo Ishikawa, and Trevor Immelman (all 200/1), Billy Mayfair, John Daly, Scott Verplank,  and Tom Watson (all 300/1)

It should be an exciting tournament on a beautiful course.

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