2012 Men’s U.S. Open Tennis Semifinals

2012 U.S. Open Tennis Championship
Men’s Semifinals
Saturday, September 8, 2012, 12:00 pm Eastern, TV: CBS
USTA National Tennis Center – Flushing Meadows, New York
All odds courtesy of Bookmaker

Novak Djokovic is a heavy favorite against David Ferrer in the semifinals of the US Open Saturday. Andy Murray takes on Tomas Berdych in the other semifinal.

For the first time since the 2004 French Open, neither Roger Federer or Rafael Nadal are appearing in the semifinals of a Grand Slam tournament. One of them has missed the semifinals on several occasions but not both at the same time. It is a pretty remarkable streak that is ending. Nadal hasn’t played since Wimbledon as he is nursing an injured knee and will not return for at least another two months. Number one seed Federer was upset by #6 seed Tomas Berdych in the quarterfinals of the US Open Wednesday night.

Just because Nadal and Federer are absent doesn’t mean there is a lack of star power in the semifinals. The other top 4 seeds besides Federer advanced. Berdych will take on #3 seed Andy Murray in one semifinal Saturday, and #2 Novak Djokovic will take on #4 David Ferrer in the other. Let’s take a look at both match-ups with odds courtesy of Bookmaker.

Andy Murray (-225) vs Tomas Berdych (+185)

Murray is 25 from Scotland. Murray is 45-11 with titles at the Olympics and Brisbane. He has runner-ups at Wimbledon, Miami, and Dubai. Though he still doesn’t have the elusive grand slam title he was looking for, an Olympic gold medal won in his home country was pretty sweet for Murray. Murray made to the semifinals at the Australian and quarters at the French this year.

Murray was the runner up in the U.S. Open in 2008, and made the semifinals here last year. At this year’s OpenĀ  he has victories over Alex Bogomolov, Jr., Ivan Dodig, #30 Feliciano Lopez, #15 Milos Raonic, and #12 Marin Cilic in the quarters to get back to the semifinals. Lopez and Cilic each took a set off Murray. Murray had to win all three of his sets against Lopez in a tiebreaker.

Berdych is 26 from the Czech Republic. He is 46-16 this season with a title at Montpelier, and runner-ups at Winston-Salem and Madrid. Berdych has never won a major, but was the runner-up at Wimbledon in 2010. This is only the second time he has advanced past the quarters at a Grand Slam event. Until this year he had never made it past the fourth round at the US Open.

Berdych has wins over David Goffin, Jurgen Zopp, #27 Sam Querrey, #11 Nicolas Almagro, and Federer. Querrey and Federer each took a set off Berdych but no one else won more than 5 games in any set.

This is the seventh meeting all time between Berdych and Murray. Berdych leads the series 4-2. They have played twice this year with each winning once. Berdych beat Murray in the quarters at Monte Carlo on clay, and Murray won in the quarters at Dubai on hard courts. They met in the fourth round of the 2010 French Open. That was the only previous meeting in a grand slam event.

This should be a great match. Both are evenly matched. I wouldn’t be shocked if Berdych pulled off the upset, but I will go with Murray in four sets.

Novak Djokovic (-2500) vs David Ferrer (+1000)

Djokovic is 25 from Serbia. He is 59-10 this season with titles at the Australian Open, Miami, and Toronto. He was the runner-up at the French Open, Monte Carlo, Rome, and Cincinnati.

Djokovic is a 5 time major champion, and is the defending champion at the US Open. He has made the semifinals of the last 10 Grand Slam events, including Wimbledon this year. Djokovic also made the semifinals at the Olympics this year, held at the All-England Club where Wimbledon is held. He ended up losing in the semifinals at the Olympics to Andy Murray, and the bronze medal match to Juan Martin Del Potro.

Djokovic has wins over Paolo Lorenzi, Rogerio Dutra-Silva, #31 Julien Bennetteau, #18 Stanislas Wawrinka, and #7 Del Potro in the quarters. Djokovic hasn’t dropped a set yet. Del Potro took him to a tiebreaker in one set, but otherwise no one has won more than 4 games in any set against Djokovic.

Ferrer is 30 from Spain. He is 58-11 this season with titles at Bastad, Hertogenbosch, Acapulco, Buenos Aires, and Auckland, along with a runner up at Barcelona. Ferrer hasn’t won a major in his career, but has advanced to at least the quarters of every major this year. He also made it to the semis at the French this year, but has never made it to the final of a Grand Slam event. He made it to the semifinals at the US Open only once in 2007, but otherwise hasn’t made it past the fourth round here until this year.

Ferrer was wins over Kevin Anderson, Igor Sijsling, Lleyton Hewitt, #13 Richard Gasquet, and #8 Janko Tipsarevic. He dropped a set to Hewitt, and went to a tiebreaker in at least one set in every match. Ferrer had to go 5 grueling sets against Tipsarevic. The match took 4 hours and 31 minutes. Ferrer won the first set, lost the next two, and came back to win sets 4 and 5.

This is the fourteenth meeting between Djokovic and Ferrer. Djokovic leads the series 8-5. Djokovic has won 4 of the last 5 meetings between the two, dating back to 2010, including both match-ups in 2012. Djokovic won in the quarters at both the Australian Open and at Miami on hard courts in straight sets. The only previous meeting at the US Open came in the 2007 semifinals when Djokovic won in straight sets.

I think Djokovic wins pretty easily. The only question is whether Ferrer wins a set. I say no, Djokovic in straight sets.

Our sports handicappers are red hot. Don’t miss out on any more winners from now until the tournament ends.

 

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